Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.022454 0.024123 0.025862 0.027810 0.029933 0.032181 0.034742
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.019899 0.022334 0.025004 0.028157 0.031791 0.035861 0.040784
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.017799 0.020632 0.023858 0.027823 0.032591 0.038172 0.045243
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016341 0.019438 0.023077 0.027697 0.033452 0.040439 0.049651
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015057 0.018300 0.022210 0.027314 0.033863 0.042069 0.053269
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014191 0.017584 0.021769 0.027369 0.034753 0.044279 0.057703
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013274 0.016723 0.021064 0.027000 0.035018 0.045634 0.061027
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012404 0.015860 0.020288 0.026461 0.034983 0.046532 0.063726
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011746 0.015229 0.019767 0.026212 0.035294 0.047884 0.067112
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011151 0.014643 0.019265 0.025944 0.035539 0.049125 0.070381
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010508 0.013957 0.018585 0.025377 0.035304 0.049635 0.072555
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010197 0.013708 0.018491 0.025624 0.036248 0.051905 0.077555
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009821 0.013355 0.018236 0.025630 0.036840 0.053696 0.081957
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009568 0.013161 0.018195 0.025943 0.037906 0.056267 0.087802
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009151 0.012712 0.017761 0.025639 0.037997 0.057304 0.091169
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008819 0.012370 0.017465 0.025525 0.038367 0.058795 0.095393
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008446 0.011951 0.017035 0.025177 0.038338 0.059620 0.098502
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008203 0.011715 0.016867 0.025226 0.038947 0.061525 0.103652
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007877 0.011340 0.016471 0.024892 0.038899 0.062309 0.106811
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007533 0.010924 0.015994 0.024402 0.038562 0.062567 0.108998
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007272 0.010626 0.015689 0.024176 0.038654 0.063568 0.112650
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007023 0.010336 0.015383 0.023932 0.038699 0.064482 0.116189
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006725 0.009960 0.014926 0.023416 0.038241 0.064456 0.117863